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Model Listing

Model Listing

The following is not a complete listing of models, though it does contain many of the models that you will see released in the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) public model files. Some of the models that the NHC uses below are rarely released into the public model file for a storm, at least while the storm is active.

We use a variety of sources for the below data. The majority of the information below comes from the techlist file on NOAA's server, the NHC's annual verification reports and the forecast model background and information page at the NHC (a page which has a lot of information about models). We only include extra information when it is provided specifically about that model. Even though some of the blanks could easily be filled in on some of the models, we chose not to unless the information was available specifically for that model in reliable documentation that we could find.

Sources for the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) Stream 1.5 models were originally found mostly here from NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project and on a related site at the National Center for Atmospheric Research's Tropical Cyclone Modeling Team site. GFDL Hurricane Model Ensemble members were found here at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. Many of these models are now in the main techlist file on the NHC's server. Various other government and university sites were also consulted.

Some of the models below are deprecated, meaning they are no longer used. We include them in case our system generates historical data that may contain that particular model.

Models listed below that are a combination of other models, consensus models, could change at any time. If you are aware of any changes to those models, please let us know.

You can select a model name or type in the list below to view the models associated with it. This page is automatically created which is why it is not formatted in the most friendly way possible.

BAM
Beta and Advection model

BAMS - Beta and Advection model, shallow layer (NHC) ( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMM - Beta and Advection model, medium layer (NHC) ( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMD - Beta and Advection model, deep layer (NHC) ( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

CARQ
Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position

CARQ - Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position ( more )
Note: This contains the center position in a storm's model file in the ATCF system.

CLIPER and SHIFOR
Climatology and Persistence model and Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model

OCD5 - CLP5 (track) and DSF5 (intensity) models merged ( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs
CLP5 - CLIPER5 (Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)
DSF5 - DSHIFOR5 (Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast, Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)

Type: Statistical (baseline)
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
BCD5 - Best Track Decay (Only available post-season) ( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs

CLIPER
Climatology and Persistence model

CLIP - CLImatology and PERsistance model 3-day
CLP5 - CLImatology and PERsistance model 5-day (CLIPER5) ( more )
Type: Statistical (baseline)
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

CMC (GEM)
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre

CMC - Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre (Canadian model) ( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMCI - Previous cycle CMC, adjusted ( more )
Canadian model (Interpolated 06 hours)
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMC2 - Canadian model (Interpolated 12 hours)
CEMN - Canadian model Ensemble Mean

COAMPS
NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System

COCE - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Carib/E Pacific grid
COEI - COAMPS Carib/E Pacific grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COE2 - COAMPS Carib/E Pacific grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
COAL - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Atlantic grid
COAI - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COA2 - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 12 hours)

Consensus Models

TCON - Consensus Track Guidance (Average of AVNI/2 + EGRI/2 + GHMI/2 + HWFI/2) - 2013 Version ( more )
Require at least 4
Prior to 2013, it contained NGPI/2.

Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOE - Consensus Track Guidance (Average of all: AVNI + EGRI + GHMI + HWFI) - 2013 Version ( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track

Prior to 2013, it contained NGPI/2.

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOA - Consensus Track Guidance (Average of all: AVNI + EGRI + GHMI + HWFI) - 2013 Version ( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCCN - Version of TCON corrected for model biases ( more )
Corrected TCON Consensus Guidance

Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
ICON - Intensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+HWFI)
TVCN - Consensus Track Guidance (At least two of: AVNI, EGRI, GHMI, HWFI, EMXI) - 2013 Version ( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

Prior to 2013, it contained NGPI/2.

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCE - Consensus Track Guidance (At least two of: AVNI, EGRI, GHMI, HWFI, EMXI) - 2013 Version ( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track

Prior to 2013, it contained NGPI/2 and/or GFNI/2.

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCA - Consensus Track Guidance (At least two of: AVNI, EGRI, GHMI, HWFI, EMXI) - 2013 Version ( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track

Prior to 2013, it contained GFNI/2.

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCC - Corrected TVCN Consensus ( more )
Version of TVCN corrected for model biases

Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
IVCN - Intensity Consensus (At least two of: DSHP, LGEM, GHMI, HWFI) - 2013 Version ( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity

Prior to 2013, it contained GFNI/2.

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
IVCR - Intensity Consensus (At least two of: DSHP, LGEM, GHMI, HWFI, RI??+COTI ) ( more )
RYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
MYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
CGUN - Version of GUNA corrected for model biases ( more )
Corrected GUNA Consensus Guidance

Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

DeMaria Radii CLIPER model

DRCL - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model
DRCI - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model (Interpolated 06 hours)

Deprecated Models (No Longer Used)

90AE - NHC-90 test
90BE - NHC-90 test
A98E - NHC-98 statistic-dynamic model
A67 - NHC-67 statistic model
A72 - NHC-72 statistic model
A73 - NHC-73 statistic model
A83 - NHC-83 statistic-dynamic model
A90E - NHC-90 (early) statistic-dynamic model
A90L - NHC-90 (late) statistic-dynamic model
A9UK - NHC-98 (UKMET version)
AFW1 - Air Force Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) Coarse resolution model ( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AF1I - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
AF12 - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
BAMA - BAM test A
BAMB - BAM test B
BAMC - BAM test C
CONE - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI, ECMI and GFNI models
CONI - Intensity Consensus Test only - Do Not Use!
CONU - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI and GFNI models
CCON - Corrected CONU Consensus
ETA - ETA model
ETAI - ETA model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ETA2 - ETA model (Interpolated 12 hours)
FV5 - NASA fvGCM model
FVGI - NASA fvGCM model (Interpolated)
GENA - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, EGRI/2 and NGPI models
GFDC - GFDL coupled model
GFCI - GFDL coupled model (Interpolated)
GFDU - GFDL model (UKMET version)
GFUI - GFDL model (UKMET version) (Interpolated)
GTSI - GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GTS2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GFDA - GFDL model with Aviation boundary layer parm
GUNA - Consensus Track Guidance (Average of AVNI + GHMI + EGRI + NGPI) ( more )
Require at least 4 (all required)
Input models: AVNI, GHMI, EGRI, NGPI
Alternate models: AVN2, GHM2, EGR2, NGP2

Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
Ending in "2" - Interpolated 12 hours
GUNS - Consensus of GFDI, UKMI and NGPI models
HCON - Intensity Consensus (GFDI+HWFI+GFNI)
HURN - HURRAN model
ICON - Intensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+HWFI)
INT4 - Intensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+GFNI+LGEM)
MFM - Medium Fine Mesh model
MM36 - Air Force MM5 model
M36I - Air Force MM5 model (Interpolated)
MRFO - Medium Range Forecast (MRF) Run
NGM - Nested Grid Model
NGMI - NGM model (Interpolated)
NGPS - Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) model ( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGPI - Previous cycle NGPS, adjusted ( more )
NOGAPS model (Interpolated 06 hours)
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGP2 - NOGAPS model (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System
OMPC - MPC official forecast
PSS - EP statistic-synoptic model
PSDL - EP statistic-dynamic model
PSDE - EP (early) statistic-dynamic model
P91L - EP NHC-91 (late) statistic-dynamic model
P91E - EP NHC-91 (early) statistic-dynamic model
P9UK - EP NHC_91 (UKMET version)
QLM - Quasi-Lagrangian model
QLMI - Quasi_Lagrangian model (Interpolated)
SBAR - SANBAR barotropic model
VBAR - VICBAR
VBRI - VICBAR model (Interpolated)

ECMWF
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast model

ECM - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) global model
ECMI - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECM2 - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 12 hours)
EMX - ECMWF global model [GFS tracker] ( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast

Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EMXI - Previous cycle EMX, adjusted ( more )
ECMWF global model [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EMX2 - ECMWF global model [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
EEMN - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [GFS tracker] ( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast

Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
EMNI - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
EMN2 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
ECMO - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker]
ECOI - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECO2 - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
EEMO - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean EPS [GTS tracker]
EE01 - ECMWF Ensemble +01 member [GTS tracker]
EE02 - ECMWF Ensemble +02 member [GTS tracker]
EE03 - ECMWF Ensemble +03 member [GTS tracker]
EE04 - ECMWF Ensemble +04 member [GTS tracker]
EE05 - ECMWF Ensemble +05 member [GTS tracker]
EE06 - ECMWF Ensemble +06 member [GTS tracker]
EE07 - ECMWF Ensemble +07 member [GTS tracker]
EE08 - ECMWF Ensemble +08 member [GTS tracker]
EE09 - ECMWF Ensemble +09 member [GTS tracker]
EE10 - ECMWF Ensemble +10 member [GTS tracker]
EE11 - ECMWF Ensemble +11 member [GTS tracker]
EE12 - ECMWF Ensemble +12 member [GTS tracker]
EE13 - ECMWF Ensemble +13 member [GTS tracker]
EE14 - ECMWF Ensemble +14 member [GTS tracker]
EE15 - ECMWF Ensemble +15 member [GTS tracker]
EE16 - ECMWF Ensemble +16 member [GTS tracker]
EE17 - ECMWF Ensemble +17 member [GTS tracker]
EE18 - ECMWF Ensemble +18 member [GTS tracker]
EE19 - ECMWF Ensemble +19 member [GTS tracker]
EE20 - ECMWF Ensemble +20 member [GTS tracker]
EE21 - ECMWF Ensemble +21 member [GTS tracker]
EE22 - ECMWF Ensemble +22 member [GTS tracker]
EE23 - ECMWF Ensemble +23 member [GTS tracker]
EE24 - ECMWF Ensemble +24 member [GTS tracker]
EE25 - ECMWF Ensemble +25 member [GTS tracker]
EE26 - ECMWF Ensemble +26 member [GTS tracker]
EE27 - ECMWF Ensemble +27 member [GTS tracker]
EE28 - ECMWF Ensemble +28 member [GTS tracker]
EE29 - ECMWF Ensemble +29 member [GTS tracker]
EE30 - ECMWF Ensemble +30 member [GTS tracker]
EE31 - ECMWF Ensemble +31 member [GTS tracker]
EE32 - ECMWF Ensemble +32 member [GTS tracker]
EE33 - ECMWF Ensemble +33 member [GTS tracker]
EE34 - ECMWF Ensemble +34 member [GTS tracker]
EE35 - ECMWF Ensemble +35 member [GTS tracker]
EE36 - ECMWF Ensemble +36 member [GTS tracker]
EE37 - ECMWF Ensemble +37 member [GTS tracker]
EE38 - ECMWF Ensemble +38 member [GTS tracker]
EE39 - ECMWF Ensemble +39 member [GTS tracker]
EE40 - ECMWF Ensemble +40 member [GTS tracker]
EE41 - ECMWF Ensemble +41 member [GTS tracker]
EE42 - ECMWF Ensemble +42 member [GTS tracker]
EE43 - ECMWF Ensemble +43 member [GTS tracker]
EE44 - ECMWF Ensemble +44 member [GTS tracker]
EE45 - ECMWF Ensemble +45 member [GTS tracker]
EE46 - ECMWF Ensemble +46 member [GTS tracker]
EE47 - ECMWF Ensemble +47 member [GTS tracker]
EE48 - ECMWF Ensemble +48 member [GTS tracker]
EE49 - ECMWF Ensemble +49 member [GTS tracker]
EE50 - ECMWF Ensemble +50 member [GTS tracker]

Florida State University Super-ensemble

FSSE - Florida State University Super-ensemble ( more )
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FSSI - Florida State University Super-ensemble (Interpolated 06 hours)

GFDL Ensemble
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model

GPMN - GFDL Ensemble Mean ( more )
2013: Ensemble mean computed at each lead time where the member availability is at least 4 members (40% threshold)
2012: Ensemble mean computed at each lead time where the member availability is at least 6 members (40% threshold)
GPMI - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Timeliness: Early version of GPMN using GFDL interpolator
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GPM2 - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP00 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control ( more )
2013: Control forecast (same model as NCEP 2013 operational GFDL)
2012: Control forecast (same model as NCEP 2012 operational GFDL) [GFS deterministic]
G00I - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 06 hours)
G002 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP01 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member (unbogussed) ( more )
2013: Unbogussed forecast using the 2013 control model
2012: Unbogussed forecast using the 2012 control model [GFS deterministic]
G01I - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
NHC Desc: GFDL ensemble member with no bogus vortex.
G012 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP02 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member ( more )
2013: Increase NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
2012: Increase NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-/64-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25% [GFS deterministic]
G02I - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G022 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP03 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member ( more )
2013: Decrease NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
2012: Decrease NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-/64-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25% [GFS deterministic]
G03I - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G032 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP04 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member ( more )
2013: Modification to increase inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
2012: Modification to increase inner-core moisture by a max of 10% [GFS deterministic]
G04I - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G042 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP05 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member ( more )
2013: Modification to decrease inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
2012: Modification to decrease inner-core moisture by a max of 10% [GFS deterministic]
G05I - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G052 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP06 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member ( more )
2013: Increase SSTs by a max of 1°C within the initial extent of the TC
2012: Increase SSTs by a max of 1°C within the initial extent of the TC [GFS deterministic]
G06I - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G062 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP07 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member ( more )
2013: Decrease SSTs by a max of 2°C within the initial extent of the TC
2012: Decrease SSTs by a max of 2°C within the initial extent of the TC [GFS deterministic]
G07I - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G072 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP08 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member ( more )
2013: Surface physics modification: GFDL 2011 operational formulation of CD & CH (surface drag and enthalpy exchange coefficients)
2012: Control forecast for the NCEP ensemble-based members [NCEP GEFS]
G08I - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G082 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP09 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member ( more )
2013: Surface physics modification: HWRF 2012 operational formulation of CD & CH (surface drag and enthalpy exchange coefficients)
2012: Unbogussed forecast using the 2012 control model [NCEP GEFS]
G09I - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G092 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP10 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member ( more )
2012: Increase NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-/64-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25% [NCEP GEFS]
G10I - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G102 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP11 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member ( more )
2012: Decrease NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-/64-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25% [NCEP GEFS]
G11I - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G112 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP12 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member ( more )
2012: Modification to increase inner-core moisture by a max of 10% [NCEP GEFS]
G12I - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G122 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP13 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member ( more )
2012: Modification to decrease inner-core moisture by a max of 10% [NCEP GEFS]
G13I - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G132 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP14 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member ( more )
2012: Increase SSTs by a max of 1°C within the initial extent of the TC [NCEP GEFS]
G14I - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G142 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP15 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member ( more )
2012: Decrease SSTs by a max of 2°C within the initial extent of the TC [NCEP GEFS]
G15I - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G152 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP16 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member
G16I - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G162 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP17 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member
G17I - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G172 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 12 hours)

GFDL
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model

GFDL - NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL model) ( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFDI - Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFD2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
GHMI - Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted using a variable intensity offset correction that is a function of forecast time. Note that for track, GHMI and GFDI are identical. (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GHM2 - GFDL model with Intensity adjustment (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDT - GFDL using [GFS tracker]
GFTI - GFDL using [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFT2 - GFDL using [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDN - Navy version of GFDL model ( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFNI - Previous cycle GFDN, adjusted ( more )
Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours)
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFN2 - Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
GFD5 - Parallel version of GFDL
GF5I - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 06 hours)
GF52 - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDE - GFDL model with ECMWF fields ( more )
From 2013 onwards. Historically, this identifer was previously used for GFDL model with Emmanuel convective parm
GFEI - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFE2 - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)

GFS
NWS / Global Forecast System

AVNO - NWS / Global Forecast System (GFS model) ( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AVNI - Previous cycle GFS, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVN2 - GFS Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
AVXO - GFS Para Model
AVXI - GFS Para Model (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVX2 - GFS Para Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
AP01 - GFS Ensemble +01 member
AP02 - GFS Ensemble +02 member
AP03 - GFS Ensemble +03 member
AP04 - GFS Ensemble +04 member
AP05 - GFS Ensemble +05 member
AP06 - GFS Ensemble +06 member
AP07 - GFS Ensemble +07 member
AP08 - GFS Ensemble +08 member
AP09 - GFS Ensemble +09 member
AP10 - GFS Ensemble +10 member
AP11 - GFS Ensemble +11 member
AP12 - GFS Ensemble +12 member
AP13 - GFS Ensemble +13 member
AP14 - GFS Ensemble +14 member
AP15 - GFS Ensemble +15 member
AP16 - GFS Ensemble +16 member
AP17 - GFS Ensemble +17 member
AP18 - GFS Ensemble +18 member
AP19 - GFS Ensemble +19 member
AP20 - GFS Ensemble +20 member
AC00 - GFS Ensemble Control
AN01 - GFS Ensemble -01 member
AN02 - GFS Ensemble -02 member
AN03 - GFS Ensemble -03 member
AN04 - GFS Ensemble -04 member
AN05 - GFS Ensemble -05 member
AEMN - GFS Ensemble Mean ( more )
NWS / Global Forecast System

Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEMI - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Previous cycle AEMN, adjusted
NWS / Global Forecast System

Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEM2 - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
AMMN - GFS New Ensemble Mean
A4PS - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version ( more )
Penn State University 4.5 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4PI - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated
Timeliness: Early version of A4PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4P2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
AHW4 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) ( more )
NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) / MMM (Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology) - SUNY (University at Albany)
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHWI - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Early version of AHW4
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHW2 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
APSU - PSU ARW w/Doppler ( more )
Penn State University 3 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APSI - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APS2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
COTC - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model) ( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
COTI - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
COT2 - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
CTCX - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model ( more )
COTI - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
COT2 - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
FIM9 - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model) ( more )
Earth System Research Laboratory
15 km FIM
FM9I - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
15 km FIM
FM92 - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
15 km FIM
FIMY - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model) 2011 version ( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model - EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter) initial conditions
GSD (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division) FIM
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIMI - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model (Interpolated 06 hours) - EnKF initial conditions
GSD FIM
Timeliness: Early version of FIMY
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIM2 - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
H3GP - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model ( more )
High-Resolution Triple Nested Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
NCEP/EMC-AOML/HRD
Resolution: 27/9/3 (Increased model resolution to 3 km near hurricane core)
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3GI - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF Model
Timeliness: Early version of H3GP
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3G2 - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWMN - HWRF Ensemble Mean ( more )
Computation of the ensemble mean applied when at least half of the members are present
HWMI - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWM2 - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
IV15 - HFIP intensity consensus (At least two of: DSHP / LGEM / GHMI / HWFI / APSI / AHWI / COTI / UWNI) - 2012 Version ( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
SPC3 - CSU-CIRA SPICE statistical intensity consensus (consensus ensemble of HWRF, GFDL and GFS operational models each with DSHIPS and LGEM) ( more )
SPC3 (Statistical Prediction of Intensity with a Consensus Ensemble (SPICE), 3 parent model version) is an HFIP experimental statistical model. Combination of 6 different models, SHIPS using results from operational GFDL, HWRF and GFS dynamical models and LGEM using output from same three dynamical models giving ensemble of 6 which is then averaged.
NHC Desc: CIRA SPICE 6-member statistical consensus of DSHP and LGEM with different initial conditions.
TV15 - HFIP track consensus (At least two of: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / GFNI / HWFI / EMXI / APSI / FM9I / AHWI) - 2012 Version ( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
UWN4 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 4km model, Version 7b - Experimental ( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UW4I - UW-NMS 4km model, Version 7b - Experimental (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Timeliness: Early version of UWN4
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UW42 - UW-NMS 4km model, Version 7b - Experimental (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UWN8 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 8km model ( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWNI - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Timeliness: Early version of UWN8
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWN2 - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 12 hours) ( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.

HFIP Stream 1.5 Models not in Techlist File (Listed in case they are used)

A1PS - PSU (Penn State University) 1 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated ( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A1PI - PSU 1 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A1PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NR - PSU (Penn State University) 4.5 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated ( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NI - PSU 4.5 km; No TDR (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A4NR
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4QI - PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours) with GFDL interpolator ( more )
NHC Desc: PSU 4.5 km WRF-EnKF system with Doppler data assimilated. Early version of A4PS using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AHQI - NCAR Hurricane Regional Model (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator ( more )
NHC Desc: NCAR/MMM - SUNY 4-km WRF AHW. Early version of AHW4 using GFDL interpolator. Note that AHWI (standard interpolator) is identical to AHQI for track and was used in TV15.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
ANPS - PSU (Penn State University) 3 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated ( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UWQI - University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator ( more )
NHC Desc: University of Wisconsin 8 km. Early version of UWN8 using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Intensity

HWRF
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model

HWRF - Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model ( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWFI - Previous cycle HWRF, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWF2 - HWRF model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWFE - HWRF model with ECMWF fields
HWEI - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWE2 - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)

JGSM
Japanese Global Spectral Model

JGSM - Japanese Global Spectral Model
JGSI - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 06 hours)
JGS2 - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 12 hours)

LBAR
Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model

LBAR - Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model ( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track

McAdie Radii CLIPER model

MRCL - McAdie Radii CLIPER model ( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence
MRCI - McAdie Radii CLIPER model ( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence (Interpolated 06 hours)

NAM
North American Mesoscale model

NAM - North American Mesoscale model ( more )
NWS / NAM model

Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NAMI - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 06 hours)
NAM2 - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 12 hours)
NVGM - Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM)
NVGI - NAVGEM (Interpolated 06 hours)
NVG2 - NAVGEM (Interpolated 12 hours)
NGX - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
NGXI - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS) ( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model

NGX2 - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS) ( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model

NHC Forecast (from ATCF Database)
National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast

OFCL - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast (in ATCF system and not from advisory data) ( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFCI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Previous cycle OFCL, adjusted

Type: Interpolated
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFC2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 12 hours)

NHC Provisional Forecast (from ATCF Database)

OFCP - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast (in ATCF system) ( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFPI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 06 hours)
OFP2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 12 hours)

OHPC
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast

OHPC - NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast ( more )
Formerly named the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC)

OOPC
NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast

OOPC - NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast

Rapid Intensity Aid

RI25 - Rapid Intensity Aid 25kts (24 hr RI Prob) ( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.

See "A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)

Probabilistic text product can be found here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI30 - Rapid Intensity Aid 30kts (24 hr RI Prob) ( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.

See "A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)

Probabilistic text product can be found here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI35 - Rapid Intensity Aid 35kts (24 hr RI Prob) ( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.

See "A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)

Probabilistic text product can be found here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI40 - Rapid Intensity Aid 40kts (24 hr RI Prob) ( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.

See "A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)

Probabilistic text product can be found here in SHIPS text product folder.

SHIFOR
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model

SHFR - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 3-day
SHF5 - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day ( more )
SHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)

Type: Statistical (baseline)
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHF - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model
DSF5 - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day ( more )
DSHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)

Type: Statistical (baseline)
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity

SHIPS
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme

SHIP - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model ( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHP - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model ( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
LGEM - SHIPS Logistic Growth Equation Model
SHPP - SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
DSPP - Decay SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
SHNS - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors
DSNS - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors

UKMET
United Kingdom Meteorological Office

EGRR - UKMET model, with subjective quality control applied to the tracker ( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office

Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGRI - UKMET model, with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Previous cycle EGRR, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGR2 - UKMET model, with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKX - UKMET [GFS tracker]
UKXI - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
UKX2 - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKM - UKMET model, automated tracker ( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office

Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKMI - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 06 hours) ( more )
Previous cycle UKM, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office

Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKM2 - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)

XTRP
Extrapolation using past 12-hr motion

XTRP - A simple extrapolation using past 12-hr motion
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