The following is not a complete listing of models, though it does contain many of the models that you will see released in the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) public model files. Some of the models that the NHC uses below are rarely released into the public model file for a storm, at least while the storm is active.
We use a variety of sources for the below data. The majority of the information below comes from the techlist file on NOAA's server, the NHC's annual verification reports and the forecast model background and information page at the NHC (a page which has a lot of information about models). We only include extra information when it is provided specifically about that model. Even though some of the blanks could easily be filled in on some of the models, we chose not to unless the information was available specifically for that model in reliable documentation that we could find.
Sources for the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) Stream 1.5 models were originally found mostly here from NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project and on a related site at the National Center for Atmospheric Research's Tropical Cyclone Modeling Team site. GFDL Hurricane Model Ensemble members were found here at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. Many of these models are now in the main techlist file on the NHC's server. Various other government and university sites were also consulted.
Some of the models below are deprecated, meaning they are no longer used. We include them in case our system generates historical data that may contain that particular model.
Models listed below that are a combination of other models, consensus models, could change at any time. If you are aware of any changes to those models, please let us know.
You can select a model name or type in the list below to view the models associated with it. This page is automatically created which is why it is not formatted in the most friendly way possible.
Beta and Advection Models
Trajectory Models
BAMS - Beta and Advection Model, shallow layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMM - Beta and Advection Model, medium layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
BAMD - Beta and Advection Model, deep layer (NHC)
( more )
Type: Single-layer trajectory
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
CARQ
Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position
CARQ - Combined ARQ (Automated Response to Query) Position
( more )
Note: This contains the center position in a storm's model file in the ATCF system.
CLIPER and SHIFOR
Climatology and Persistence model and Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model
OCD5 - CLP5 (track) and DSF5 (intensity) models merged
( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs
CLP5 - CLIPER5 (Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)
DSF5 - DSHIFOR5 (Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast, Climatology and Persistence model 5 day)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
BCD5 - Best Track Decay (Only available post-season)
( more )
Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs
CLIPER
Climatology and Persistence model
CLIP - CLImatology and PERsistance model 3-day
CLP5 - CLImatology and PERsistance model 5-day (CLIPER5)
( more )
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
TCLP - Trajectory CLImatology and PERsistance (CLIPER) model 7-day
COAMPS
NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System
COCE - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Caribbean / East Pacific grid
COEI - COAMPS Caribbean / East Pacific grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COE2 - COAMPS Caribbean / East Pacific grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
COAL - NRL's Coupled Ocean / Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) Atlantic grid
COAI - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 06 hours)
COA2 - COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
Canadian (CMC/GEM)
Global Environmental Multiscale model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
CMC - Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre (Canadian model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMCI - Canadian model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CMC2 - Canadian model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model from the Canadian Meteorological Centre
Canadian Ensemble
Canadian Meteorological Centre
CEMN - Canadian model Ensemble Mean
CEMI - Canadian model Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
CEM2 - Canadian model Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
CC00 - Canadian model Ensemble Control Member
CP01 - Canadian model Ensemble +01 member
CP02 - Canadian model Ensemble +02 member
CP03 - Canadian model Ensemble +03 member
CP04 - Canadian model Ensemble +04 member
CP05 - Canadian model Ensemble +05 member
CP06 - Canadian model Ensemble +06 member
CP07 - Canadian model Ensemble +07 member
CP08 - Canadian model Ensemble +08 member
CP09 - Canadian model Ensemble +09 member
CP10 - Canadian model Ensemble +10 member
CP11 - Canadian model Ensemble +11 member
CP12 - Canadian model Ensemble +12 member
CP13 - Canadian model Ensemble +13 member
CP14 - Canadian model Ensemble +14 member
CP15 - Canadian model Ensemble +15 member
CP16 - Canadian model Ensemble +16 member
CP17 - Canadian model Ensemble +17 member
CP18 - Canadian model Ensemble +18 member
CP19 - Canadian model Ensemble +19 member
CP20 - Canadian model Ensemble +20 member
Consensus Models
TCON - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOE - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCOA - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of all: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TCCN - Version of TCON corrected for model biases
( more )
Corrected TCON Consensus Guidance
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
ICON - Intensity Consensus (For 2016, consensus of all: DSHP + LGEM + GHMI + HWFI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCN - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCE - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI / NGPI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCA - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCP - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI / CTCI)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
TVCC - Corrected TVCN Consensus
( more )
Version of TVCN corrected for model biases
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
GFEX - Consensus Track Guidance (Consensus of AVNI and EMXI)
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Consensus Model Methods: Simple average track forecasts
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track
TVCX - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EMXIx2 / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI)
TVCY - Consensus Track Guidance (For 2016, consensus of at least two of: AVNIx2 / EGRI / GHMI / HWFI / EMXIx2 / CTCI)
IVCN - Intensity Consensus (For 2017, consensus of at least two of: HWFI / CTCI / DSHP / LGEM)
( more )
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
IVCR - Intensity Consensus (Consensus of at least two of: DSHP / LGEM / GHMI / HWFI / RI?? (RI25 or RI30 or RI35 or RI40) + CTCI)
IVRI - Intensity Consensus (Consensus of five: DHSP / LGEM / GHMI / HWFI / CTCI / RI?? (RI25 or RI30 or RI35 or RI40)
HCCA - HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach model
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Consensus Model Methods: Positive/negative weighting coefficients; better performing models receive large weight
Ensemble Consenus Members (for 2017): AEMI / AVNI / CTCI / DSHP / EGRI / EMNI / EMXI / HWFI / LGEM
RVCN - R34 Wind Radii Consensus (For 2017 consensus composition: AHNI / EMXI / HHFI)
( more )
Consensus Model Methods: Multi-model wind radii, bias correct initial wind to match analysis; applied to all forecast periods
NHC Forecast Parameter(s): 34-kt wind radii
RYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
MYOC - Forecaster Created Consensus Guidance (any model combination)
CGUN - Version of GUNA corrected for model biases
( more )
Corrected GUNA Consensus Guidance
Type: Corrected consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
DeMaria Radii CLIPER model
DRCL - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model
DRCI - DeMaria Radii CLImatology and PERsistence (CLIPER) model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECMWF Ensemble [GTS tracker]
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ECME - ECMWF global model Ensemble Control Member [GTS tracker]
EE01 - ECMWF Ensemble +01 member [GTS tracker]
EE02 - ECMWF Ensemble +02 member [GTS tracker]
EE03 - ECMWF Ensemble +03 member [GTS tracker]
EE04 - ECMWF Ensemble +04 member [GTS tracker]
EE05 - ECMWF Ensemble +05 member [GTS tracker]
EE06 - ECMWF Ensemble +06 member [GTS tracker]
EE07 - ECMWF Ensemble +07 member [GTS tracker]
EE08 - ECMWF Ensemble +08 member [GTS tracker]
EE09 - ECMWF Ensemble +09 member [GTS tracker]
EE10 - ECMWF Ensemble +10 member [GTS tracker]
EE11 - ECMWF Ensemble +11 member [GTS tracker]
EE12 - ECMWF Ensemble +12 member [GTS tracker]
EE13 - ECMWF Ensemble +13 member [GTS tracker]
EE14 - ECMWF Ensemble +14 member [GTS tracker]
EE15 - ECMWF Ensemble +15 member [GTS tracker]
EE16 - ECMWF Ensemble +16 member [GTS tracker]
EE17 - ECMWF Ensemble +17 member [GTS tracker]
EE18 - ECMWF Ensemble +18 member [GTS tracker]
EE19 - ECMWF Ensemble +19 member [GTS tracker]
EE20 - ECMWF Ensemble +20 member [GTS tracker]
EE21 - ECMWF Ensemble +21 member [GTS tracker]
EE22 - ECMWF Ensemble +22 member [GTS tracker]
EE23 - ECMWF Ensemble +23 member [GTS tracker]
EE24 - ECMWF Ensemble +24 member [GTS tracker]
EE25 - ECMWF Ensemble +25 member [GTS tracker]
EE26 - ECMWF Ensemble +26 member [GTS tracker]
EE27 - ECMWF Ensemble +27 member [GTS tracker]
EE28 - ECMWF Ensemble +28 member [GTS tracker]
EE29 - ECMWF Ensemble +29 member [GTS tracker]
EE30 - ECMWF Ensemble +30 member [GTS tracker]
EE31 - ECMWF Ensemble +31 member [GTS tracker]
EE32 - ECMWF Ensemble +32 member [GTS tracker]
EE33 - ECMWF Ensemble +33 member [GTS tracker]
EE34 - ECMWF Ensemble +34 member [GTS tracker]
EE35 - ECMWF Ensemble +35 member [GTS tracker]
EE36 - ECMWF Ensemble +36 member [GTS tracker]
EE37 - ECMWF Ensemble +37 member [GTS tracker]
EE38 - ECMWF Ensemble +38 member [GTS tracker]
EE39 - ECMWF Ensemble +39 member [GTS tracker]
EE40 - ECMWF Ensemble +40 member [GTS tracker]
EE41 - ECMWF Ensemble +41 member [GTS tracker]
EE42 - ECMWF Ensemble +42 member [GTS tracker]
EE43 - ECMWF Ensemble +43 member [GTS tracker]
EE44 - ECMWF Ensemble +44 member [GTS tracker]
EE45 - ECMWF Ensemble +45 member [GTS tracker]
EE46 - ECMWF Ensemble +46 member [GTS tracker]
EE47 - ECMWF Ensemble +47 member [GTS tracker]
EE48 - ECMWF Ensemble +48 member [GTS tracker]
EE49 - ECMWF Ensemble +49 member [GTS tracker]
EE50 - ECMWF Ensemble +50 member [GTS tracker]
ECMWF Ensemble [NCEP tracker]
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
EEMN - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker]
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
EMNI - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
EMN2 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
EMN3 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 18 hours)
EMN4 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Mean [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 24 hours)
EC00 - ECMWF global model Ensemble Control Member [NCEP tracker]
EN01 - ECMWF Ensemble +01 member [NCEP tracker]
EN02 - ECMWF Ensemble +02 member [NCEP tracker]
EN03 - ECMWF Ensemble +03 member [NCEP tracker]
EN04 - ECMWF Ensemble +04 member [NCEP tracker]
EN05 - ECMWF Ensemble +05 member [NCEP tracker]
EN06 - ECMWF Ensemble +06 member [NCEP tracker]
EN07 - ECMWF Ensemble +07 member [NCEP tracker]
EN08 - ECMWF Ensemble +08 member [NCEP tracker]
EN09 - ECMWF Ensemble +09 member [NCEP tracker]
EN10 - ECMWF Ensemble +10 member [NCEP tracker]
EN11 - ECMWF Ensemble +11 member [NCEP tracker]
EN12 - ECMWF Ensemble +12 member [NCEP tracker]
EN13 - ECMWF Ensemble +13 member [NCEP tracker]
EN14 - ECMWF Ensemble +14 member [NCEP tracker]
EN15 - ECMWF Ensemble +15 member [NCEP tracker]
EN16 - ECMWF Ensemble +16 member [NCEP tracker]
EN17 - ECMWF Ensemble +17 member [NCEP tracker]
EN18 - ECMWF Ensemble +18 member [NCEP tracker]
EN19 - ECMWF Ensemble +19 member [NCEP tracker]
EN20 - ECMWF Ensemble +20 member [NCEP tracker]
EN21 - ECMWF Ensemble +21 member [NCEP tracker]
EN22 - ECMWF Ensemble +22 member [NCEP tracker]
EN23 - ECMWF Ensemble +23 member [NCEP tracker]
EN24 - ECMWF Ensemble +24 member [NCEP tracker]
EN25 - ECMWF Ensemble +25 member [NCEP tracker]
EP01 - ECMWF Ensemble +26 member [NCEP tracker]
EP02 - ECMWF Ensemble +27 member [NCEP tracker]
EP03 - ECMWF Ensemble +28 member [NCEP tracker]
EP04 - ECMWF Ensemble +29 member [NCEP tracker]
EP05 - ECMWF Ensemble +30 member [NCEP tracker]
EP06 - ECMWF Ensemble +31 member [NCEP tracker]
EP07 - ECMWF Ensemble +32 member [NCEP tracker]
EP08 - ECMWF Ensemble +33 member [NCEP tracker]
EP09 - ECMWF Ensemble +34 member [NCEP tracker]
EP10 - ECMWF Ensemble +35 member [NCEP tracker]
EP11 - ECMWF Ensemble +36 member [NCEP tracker]
EP12 - ECMWF Ensemble +37 member [NCEP tracker]
EP13 - ECMWF Ensemble +38 member [NCEP tracker]
EP14 - ECMWF Ensemble +39 member [NCEP tracker]
EP15 - ECMWF Ensemble +40 member [NCEP tracker]
EP16 - ECMWF Ensemble +41 member [NCEP tracker]
EP17 - ECMWF Ensemble +42 member [NCEP tracker]
EP18 - ECMWF Ensemble +43 member [NCEP tracker]
EP19 - ECMWF Ensemble +44 member [NCEP tracker]
EP20 - ECMWF Ensemble +45 member [NCEP tracker]
EP21 - ECMWF Ensemble +46 member [NCEP tracker]
EP22 - ECMWF Ensemble +47 member [NCEP tracker]
EP23 - ECMWF Ensemble +48 member [NCEP tracker]
EP24 - ECMWF Ensemble +49 member [NCEP tracker]
EP25 - ECMWF Ensemble +50 member [NCEP tracker]
ECMWF
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
ECM - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) global model
ECMI - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECM2 - ECMWF global model (Interpolated 12 hours)
EMX - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker]
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Cycle/Run Frequency: 12 hr (240hr), 00/12 UTC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Horizontal Resolution: Spectral, ~9 km
Vertical Levels and Coordinate: 137, Hybrid Sigma-pressure
Data Assimilation: 4D-VAR
Convective Scheme Intensity Model Predictors: Tiedtke mass flux [Tiedtke (1989)]
EMXI - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EMX2 - ECMWF global model [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
ECMO - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker]
ECOI - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
ECO2 - ECMWF global model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
Florida State University Super-ensemble Corrected Consensus
FSSE - Florida State University Super-ensemble Corrected Consensus
( more )
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (120 hr)
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Ensemble Consenus Members (according to NHC model page): AVNI / EMXI / HWFI / CTCI / EGRI / NGPI
FSSI - Florida State University Super-ensemble (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFDL (Retired in early 2017)
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model
GFDL - NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFDI - Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFD2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
GHMI - GFDL using variable intensity offset (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle GFDL, adjusted using a variable intensity offset correction that is a function of forecast time. Note that for track, GHMI and GFDI are identical. (Interpolated 06 hours)
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GHM2 - GFDL using variable intensity offset (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDT - GFDL using [NCEP tracker]
GFTI - GFDL using [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFT2 - GFDL using [NCEP tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDN - Navy version of GFDL model
( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFNI - Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle GFDN, adjusted
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GFN2 - Navy version of GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
(GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
GFD5 - Parallel version of GFDL
GF5I - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 06 hours)
GF52 - Parallel version of GFDL (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDE - GFDL model with ECMWF fields
( more )
From 2013 onwards. Historically, this identifer was previously used for GFDL model with Emmanuel convective parm
GFEI - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
GFE2 - GFDL model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDL Ensemble
NWS / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model
GPMN - GFDL Ensemble Mean
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Ensemble mean of member numbers 01 to 11 computed at each lead time where the member availability is at least 4 (40% threshold)
GPMI - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of GPMN using GFDL interpolator
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
GPM2 - GFDL Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
GP00 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Control forecast (based on NCEP 2015 operational GFDL)
GP01 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member (unbogussed)
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Opposite vortex bogussing method of the ensemble control model (i.e., runs unbogussed when the control runs bogussed, and vice versa)
GP02 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Increase NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
GP03 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Decrease NHC-observed Vmax 10%, 34-kt radii 25%, 50-kt radii 40%, ROCI 25%
GP04 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Modification to increase inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
GP05 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Modification to decrease inner-core moisture by a max of 10%
GP06 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Increase SSTs by a max of 3°C within the initial extent of the TC
GP07 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Decrease SSTs by a max of 3°C within the initial extent of the TC
GP08 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Surface physics modification: GFDL 2011 operational formulation of CD & CH (surface drag and enthalpy exchange coefficients)
GP09 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Surface physics modification: HWRF 2015 operational formulation of CH (surface enthalpy exchange coefficient)
GP10 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Physics modification: Effectively increase mean boundary layer depth
GP11 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member
( more )
For 2015 ens. membership: Physics modification: Effectively decrease mean boundary layer depth
GP12 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member
GP13 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member
GP14 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member
GP15 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member
GP16 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member
GP17 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member
G00I - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 06 hours)
G01I - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NHC Desc: GFDL ensemble member with no bogus vortex.
G02I - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G03I - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G04I - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G05I - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G06I - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G07I - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G08I - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G09I - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G10I - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G11I - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G12I - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G13I - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G14I - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G15I - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G16I - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G17I - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 06 hours)
G002 - GFDL Ensemble +00 Control (Interpolated 12 hours)
G012 - GFDL Ensemble +01 member, unbogussed (Interpolated 12 hours)
G022 - GFDL Ensemble +02 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G032 - GFDL Ensemble +03 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G042 - GFDL Ensemble +04 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G052 - GFDL Ensemble +05 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G062 - GFDL Ensemble +06 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G072 - GFDL Ensemble +07 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G082 - GFDL Ensemble +08 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G092 - GFDL Ensemble +09 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G102 - GFDL Ensemble +10 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G112 - GFDL Ensemble +11 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G122 - GFDL Ensemble +12 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G132 - GFDL Ensemble +13 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G142 - GFDL Ensemble +14 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G152 - GFDL Ensemble +15 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G162 - GFDL Ensemble +16 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
G172 - GFDL Ensemble +17 member (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFS
NWS / Global Forecast System
AVNO - NWS / Global Forecast System (GFS model)
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AVNI - Previous cycle GFS, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVN2 - GFS Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
AVXO - GFS Model 10-day tracker
AVXI - GFS Model 10-day tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
AVX2 - GFS Model 10-day tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
AC00 - GFS Ensemble Control Member
AP01 - GFS Ensemble +01 member
AP02 - GFS Ensemble +02 member
AP03 - GFS Ensemble +03 member
AP04 - GFS Ensemble +04 member
AP05 - GFS Ensemble +05 member
AP06 - GFS Ensemble +06 member
AP07 - GFS Ensemble +07 member
AP08 - GFS Ensemble +08 member
AP09 - GFS Ensemble +09 member
AP10 - GFS Ensemble +10 member
AP11 - GFS Ensemble +11 member
AP12 - GFS Ensemble +12 member
AP13 - GFS Ensemble +13 member
AP14 - GFS Ensemble +14 member
AP15 - GFS Ensemble +15 member
AP16 - GFS Ensemble +16 member
AP17 - GFS Ensemble +17 member
AP18 - GFS Ensemble +18 member
AP19 - GFS Ensemble +19 member
AP20 - GFS Ensemble +20 member
AN01 - GFS Ensemble -01 member
AN02 - GFS Ensemble -02 member
AN03 - GFS Ensemble -03 member
AN04 - GFS Ensemble -04 member
AN05 - GFS Ensemble -05 member
AEMN - GFS Ensemble Mean
( more )
NWS / Global Forecast System
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEMI - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle AEMN, adjusted
NWS / Global Forecast System
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AEM2 - GFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
AMMN - GFS New Ensemble Mean
HFIP Stream 1.5 Models (with other related models) Grouped Together (GFDL Ensemble in separate group)
A4PS - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version
( more )
Penn State University 4.5 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4PI - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated
Timeliness: Early version of A4PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
A4P2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
AHW4 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model)
( more )
NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) / MMM (Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology) - SUNY (University at Albany)
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHWI - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Timeliness: Early version of AHW4
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
AHW2 - SUNY Advanced Hurricane WRF (NCAR Hurricane Regional Model) (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
NCAR / MMM - SUNY
4-km AHW
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
APSU - PSU ARW w/Doppler
( more )
Penn State University 3 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APSI - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
APS2 - PSU ARW w/Doppler (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
PSU 3 km; TDR assimilated
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
COTC - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model)
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
COTI - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model) (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of COTC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
COT2 - NRL COAMPS-TC model (Navy Regional Hurricane Model) (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
CTCX - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version)
( more )
CTCI - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version) (Interpolated 06 hours)
CTC2 - NRL COAMPS-TC 5km model (experimental version) (Interpolated 12 hours)
FIM9 - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model)
( more )
Earth System Research Laboratory
15 km FIM
FM9I - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
15 km FIM
FM92 - ESRL FIM (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
15 km FIM
FIMY - ESRL FIM (Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model) 2011 version
( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model - EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter) initial conditions
GSD (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division) FIM
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIMI - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Flow-Following Finite-Volume Icosahedral Model (Interpolated 06 hours) - EnKF initial conditions
GSD FIM
Timeliness: Early version of FIMY
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
FIM2 - ESRL FIM 2011 version (Interpolated 12 hours)
H3GP - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
High-Resolution Triple Nested Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
NCEP/EMC-AOML/HRD
Resolution: 27/9/3 (Increased model resolution to 3 km near hurricane core)
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3GI - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF Model
Timeliness: Early version of H3GP
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
H3G2 - NCEP/AOML High-Resolution Triple Nested HWRF 3km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWMN - HWRF Ensemble Mean
( more )
Computation of the ensemble mean applied when at least half of the members are present
HWMI - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWM2 - HWRF Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
IV15 - HFIP intensity consensus (For 2014, consensus of at least two of: DSHP / LGEM / HWFI / GPMI / CXTI / UW4I)
( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
SPC3 - CSU-CIRA SPICE statistical intensity consensus (consensus ensemble of HWRF, GFDL and GFS operational models each with DSHIPS and LGEM)
( more )
SPC3 (Statistical Prediction of Intensity with a Consensus Ensemble (SPICE), 3 parent model version) is an HFIP experimental statistical model. Combination of 6 different models, SHIPS using results from operational GFDL, HWRF and GFS dynamical models and LGEM using output from same three dynamical models giving ensemble of 6 which is then averaged.
NHC Desc: CIRA SPICE 6-member statistical consensus of DSHP and LGEM with different initial conditions.
TV15 - HFIP track consensus (For 2014, consensus of at least two of: AVNI / EGRI / HWFI / EMXI / GPMI)
( more )
NOAA's HFIP (Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program)
UWN4 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 4km model
UW4I - UW-NMS 4km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
UW42 - UW-NMS 4km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
UWN8 - UW-NMS (University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System) 8km model
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWNI - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of UWN8
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
UWN2 - UW-NMS 8km model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Additonal note for Intensity: GHMI interpolator.
HFIP Stream 1.5 Models not in Techlist File (Listed in case they are used)
A1PS - PSU (Penn State University) 1 km; TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A1PI - PSU 1 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A1PS
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NR - PSU (Penn State University) 4.5 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4NI - PSU 4.5 km; No TDR (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Timeliness: Early version of A4NR
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
A4QI - PSU 4.5 km; TDR assimilated (Interpolated 06 hours) with GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: PSU 4.5 km WRF-EnKF system with Doppler data assimilated. Early version of A4PS using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AHQI - NCAR Hurricane Regional Model (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: NCAR/MMM - SUNY 4-km WRF AHW. Early version of AHW4 using GFDL interpolator. Note that AHWI (standard interpolator) is identical to AHQI for track and was used in TV15.
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
ANPS - PSU (Penn State University) 3 km; No TDR (Tail Doppler Radar) assimilated
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UWQI - University of Wisconsin - Nonhydrostatic Modeling System (Interpolated 06 hours) using GFDL interpolator
( more )
NHC Desc: University of Wisconsin 8 km. Early version of UWN8 using GFDL interpolator.
Parameters forecast: Intensity
HMON (Replacement for GFDL)
Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model
HMON - Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model
( more )
Cycle Frequency: 6 hr (126hr), Runs on request from NHC/JTWC
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
Horizontal Resolution: Grid Configuration, 3 nests (18-6-2 km)
Vertical Levels and Coordinate: 42, Hybrid Sigma-pressure
Convective Scheme Intensity Model Predictors: Simplified Arakawa-Schubert
HMNI - Previous cycle HMON, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWRF
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
HWRF - Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWFI - Previous cycle HWRF, adjusted (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
HWF2 - HWRF model (Interpolated 12 hours)
HWFE - HWRF model with ECMWF fields
HWEI - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 06 hours)
HWE2 - HWRF model with ECMWF fields (Interpolated 12 hours)
HW3F - HWRF model [2013 version]
HW3I - HWRF model [2013 version] (Interpolated 06 hours)
HW32 - HWRF model [2013 version] (Interpolated 12 hours)
HHFI - HWRF model radii with bias correction phased out at 36h or removed entirely (based on AMS article)
( more )
JGSM
Japanese Global Spectral Model
JGSM - Japanese Global Spectral Model
JGSI - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 06 hours)
JGS2 - Japanese Global Spectral Model (Interpolated 12 hours)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) official forecast
JTWC - JTWC official forecast
JTWI - JTWC official forecast (Interpolated 06 hours)
LBAR (Retired in early 2017)
Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model
LBAR - Limited Area Sine Transform Barotropic Model
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
McAdie Radii CLIPER model
MRCL - McAdie Radii CLIPER model
( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence
MRCI - McAdie Radii CLIPER model
( more )
CLImatology and PERsistence (Interpolated 06 hours)
NAM
North American Mesoscale model
NAM - North American Mesoscale model
( more )
NWS / NAM model
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NAMI - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 06 hours)
NAM2 - NWS / NAM model (Interpolated 12 hours)
NAVGEM
Navy Global Environmental Model
NVGM - Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM)
NVGI - NAVGEM (Interpolated 06 hours)
NVG2 - NAVGEM (Interpolated 12 hours)
NGX - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
NGXI - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model
NGX2 - NAVGEM [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours) - 2013 and later (previously version of NOGAPS)
( more )
Navy Global Environmental Model
NHC Forecast (from ATCF Database)
National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast
OFCL - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast (in ATCF system and not from advisory data)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFCI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle OFCL, adjusted
Type: Interpolated
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFC2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecast, in ATCF system and not from advisory data (Interpolated 12 hours)
NHC Provisional Forecast (from ATCF Database)
OFCP - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast (in ATCF system)
( more )
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
OFPI - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 06 hours)
OFP2 - National Hurricane Center (NHC) provisional forecast in ATCF system (Interpolated 12 hours)
NHC-NCO PARA
KBMD - Beta and Advection model, deep (NHC-NCO PARA)
KBMM - Beta and Advection model, medium (NHC-NCO PARA)
KBMS - Beta and Advection model, shallow (NHC-NCO PARA)
KXTR - Extrapolation using past 12-hr motion (NHC-NCO PARA)
KCLP - CLImatology-PERsistence model 3-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KCL5 - CLImatology-PERsistence model 5-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KLBR - LBAR (NHC-NCO PARA)
KOCD - Combination of CLP5 and Decay-SHIFOR run on operational inputs (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSFR - SHIFOR intensity model 3-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSF5 - SHIFOR intensity model 5-day (NHC-NCO PARA)
KSHP - SHIPS model (NHC-NCO PARA)
KDSP - Decay SHIPS model (NHC-NCO PARA)
KLGM - SHIPS Logistic Growth Equation (LGE) forecast model (NHC-NCO PARA)
OHPC
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast
OHPC - NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) official forecast
( more )
Formerly named the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC)
OOPC
NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast
OOPC - NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) official forecast
Rapid Intensity Aid
RI25 - Rapid Intensity Aid 25kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI30 - Rapid Intensity Aid 30kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI35 - Rapid Intensity Aid 35kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
RI40 - Rapid Intensity Aid 40kts (24 hr RI Prob)
( more )
There is a percentage threshold for producing this deterministic rapid intensification aid.
See "
A Deterministic Rapid Intensification Aid", Sampson et al. (2011)
Probabilistic text product can be found
here in SHIPS text product folder.
SHIFOR
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model
SHFR - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 3-day
SHF5 - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day
( more )
SHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHF - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model
DSF5 - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast (SHIFOR) intensity model 5-day
( more )
Decay-SHIFOR5 (Climatology and Persistence model)
Type: Statistical baseline
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
SHIPS
Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme
SHIP - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model
( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
DSHP - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model
( more )
Type: Statistical-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Intensity
LGEM - SHIPS Logistic Growth Equation Model
SHPP - SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
DSPP - Decay SHIPS model parallel (As of 2008, listed as: experimental - do not use)
SHNS - Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors
DSNS - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) not using IR profile predictors
Trajectory and Beta Models
TABS - Trajectory and Beta Model, shallow layer (NHC)
TABM - Trajectory and Beta Model, medium layer (NHC)
TABD - Trajectory and Beta Model, deep layer (NHC)
UKMET MOGREPS-G (Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System)
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UEMN - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Public access restricted due to agreement with the data provider.
UEMI - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UEM2 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
UE00 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Control Member
UE01 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +01 member
UE02 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +02 member
UE03 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +03 member
UE04 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +04 member
UE05 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +05 member
UE06 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +06 member
UE07 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +07 member
UE08 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +08 member
UE09 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +09 member
UE10 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +10 member
UE11 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +11 member
UE12 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +12 member
UE13 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +13 member
UE14 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +14 member
UE15 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +15 member
UE16 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +16 member
UE17 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +17 member
UE18 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +18 member
UE19 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +19 member
UE20 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +20 member
UE21 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +21 member
UE22 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble +22 member
UE23 - UKMET MOGREPS-G Ensemble Previous Control member
UKMET
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
EGRR - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGRI - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle EGRR, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
EGR2 - UKMET model GTS (Official), with subjective quality control applied to the tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKX - UKMET [GFS tracker]
UKXI - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours)
UKX2 - UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKM - UKMET model (Developmental), automated tracker
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKMI - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Previous cycle UKM, adjusted
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
UKM2 - UKMET model, automated tracker (Interpolated 12 hours)
KEGR - UKMET model GTS (2014 test)
( more )
United Kingdom Meteorological Office
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
KEGI - UKMET model GTS (2014 test - Interpolated 06 hours)
KEG2 - UKMET model GTS (2014 test - Interpolated 12 hours)
XTRP - A simple extrapolation using past 12-hr motion
Deprecated Models (No Longer Used)
90AE - NHC-90 test
90BE - NHC-90 test
A98E - NHC-98 (Atlantic) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A67 - NHC-67 statistical-synoptic model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A72 - NHC-72 statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A73 - NHC-73 statistic model
A83 - NHC-83 statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A90E - NHC-90 (Atlantic) (early) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
A90L - NHC-90 (Atlantic) (late) statistical-dynamical model
A9UK - NHC-98 (UKMET version)
AFW1 - Air Force Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) Coarse resolution model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
AF1I - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 06 hours)
( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
AF12 - Air Force MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model
BAMA - BAM test A
BAMB - BAM test B
BAMC - BAM test C
CONE - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI, ECMI and GFNI models
CONI - Intensity Consensus Test only - Do Not Use!
CONU - NHC Multi-Model Consensus (Retired) - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI and GFNI models
CCON - Corrected CONU Consensus
ETA - ETA model
ETAI - ETA model (Interpolated 06 hours)
ETA2 - ETA model (Interpolated 12 hours)
FV5 - NASA fvGCM model
FVGI - NASA fvGCM model (Interpolated)
GENA - Consensus of AVNI, GFDI, EGRI/2 and NGPI models
GFDC - GFDL coupled model
GFCI - GFDL coupled model (Interpolated)
GFDU - GFDL model (UKMET version)
GFUI - GFDL model (UKMET version) (Interpolated)
GTSI - GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GTS2 - GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) Test only - Do Not Use!
GFDA - GFDL model with Aviation boundary layer parm
GUNA - Consensus Track Guidance (Consensus of all: AVNI / GHMI / EGRI / NGPI)
( more )
All Required
Type: Consensus
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
Ending in "I" - Interpolated 06 hours
GUNS - Consensus of GFDI, UKMI and NGPI models
HCON - Intensity Consensus (GFDI+HWFI+GFNI)
HURN - HURRAN model
( more )
Type: Analog
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
INT4 - Intensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+GFNI+LGEM)
MFM - Medium Fine Mesh model
( more )
Type: Multi-level global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
MM36 - Air Force MM5 model
M36I - Air Force MM5 model (Interpolated)
MRFO - Medium Range Forecast (MRF) Run
NGM - Nested Grid Model
NGMI - NGM model (Interpolated)
NGPS - Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer global dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGPI - Previous cycle NGPS, adjusted
( more )
NOGAPS model (Interpolated 06 hours)
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System
Type: Interpolated-dynamical
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track and Intensity
NGP2 - NOGAPS model (Interpolated 12 hours)
( more )
Navy's Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System
OMPC - MPC official forecast
PSS - EP statistic-synoptic model
PSDL - EP statistic-dynamic model
PSDE - EP (early) statistic-dynamic model
P91L - EP NHC-91 (late) statistic-dynamic model
P91E - EP NHC-91 (Pacific) (early) statistical-dynamical model
( more )
Timeliness: Early
Parameters forecast: Track
P9UK - EP NHC_91 (UKMET version)
QLM - Quasi-Lagrangian model
( more )
Type: Multi-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
QLMI - Quasi_Lagrangian model (Interpolated)
SBAR - SANBAR barotropic model
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
VBAR - VICBAR
( more )
Type: Single-layer regional dynamical
Timeliness: Late
Parameters forecast: Track
VBRI - VICBAR model (Interpolated)